As crises multiply, ingenuity lags. This prescient classic explains why societies falter when problems outpace solutions—and offers a roadmap to close the gap before risks from climate shocks, pandemics, inequality, and AI spiral beyond control.First published at the turn of the millennium,
The Ingenuity Gap by Thomas Homer-Dixon anticipated the turbulent world we now inhabit: pandemics, climate disasters, political polarization, disruptive runaway technologies, and escalating global instability. With remarkable foresight, Homer-Dixon warned that the complexity of our problems would accelerate faster than our collective ingenuity to solve them—and that failure to close this “gap” would leave societies fragile and exposed. A quarter century later, his vision has proven prophetic.
Homer-Dixon takes readers on a global tour of ingenuity under pressure: from the desperate improvisation of pilots fighting to land United Airlines Flight 232 in Iowa, to the water-hungry expansion of Las Vegas, to a harrowing search for a missing child in Patna, and the collapse of Canada’s cod fisheries. Vivid and far-reaching, it is a sweeping portrait of what happens when societies are stretched beyond their capacity to adapt and an enlightening case for why ingenuity is humanity’s most vital resource.
Celebrating over twenty-five years in print,
The Ingenuity Gap remains both a visionary diagnosis of our age and a call to reimagine how we generate creativity, resilience, and leadership in uncertain times.
"Human beings have been smart enough to turn nature to their ends, generate vast wealth for themselves, and double their average life span. But are they smart enough to solve the problems of the 21st century?" -- Thomas Homer-Dixon
In The Ingenuity Gap, Thomas Homer-Dixon, "global guru" (the Toronto Star), asks: is our world becoming too complex, too fast-paced to manage? The challenges facing us converge, intertwine, and remain largely beyond our ken. Most of suspect the "experts don't really know what's going on; that as a species we've released forces that are neither managed nor manageable. We are fast approaching a time when we may no longer be able to control a world that increasingly exceeds our grasp. This is "the ingenuity gap" -- the term coined by Thomas Homer-Dixon -- the critical gap between our need for practical, innovative ideas to solve complex problems and our actual supply of those ideas.
Through gripping narrative stories and incidents that exemplify his arguments, he takes us on a world tour that begins with a heartstopping description of the tragic crash of United Airlines Flight 232 from Denver to Chicago and includes Las Vegas in its desert, a wilderness beach in British Columbia, and his solitary search for a little girl in Patna, India. He shows how, in our complex world, while poor countries are particularly vulnerable to ingenuity gaps, our own rich countries are not immune, and we are caught between a requirement for ingenuity and an increasingly uncertain supply. When the gap widens, political disintegration and violent upheaval can result, reaching into our own economies and daily lives in subtle ways. In compelling, lucid, prose, he makes real the problems we face and suggests how we might overcome them.
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